0x1694413a10a674d4f60f8552f8ec71a11d884372
- Realised P&L
- $-149.16
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $43.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.095 | $10.33 | −$14.67 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $8.13 | −$1.88 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.007 | $8.09 | −$8.91 |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.065 | $8.02 | −$1.98 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.160 | $4.94 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.037 | $3.68 | −$1.32 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.66at 0.480Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$-10.32at 0.103Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$-22.69at 0.077Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-26.08at 0.242Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
- +$-28.43at 0.039Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 16:49 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.94 |
| 08-29 16:48 | McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? | BUY | 0.0810810738 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 16:48 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 13:54 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0157626242 | $17.00 |
| 08-29 13:53 | Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0509999907 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 13:52 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 13:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999933 | $25.00 |
| 08-29 13:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 13:48 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 17:51 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2324999944 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 17:49 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0369999987 | $27.00 |
| 07-19 17:28 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.072999997 | $21.58 |
| 07-19 17:26 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4129999962 | $50.00 |
| 07-01 02:10 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4699999968 | $24.99 |