controls
0x165ed327dd594bfe95a5a9836cad385813cff5aa
- Realised P&L
- $41.2k
- Volume
- $1.17M
- Markets traded
- 864
- Open portfolio
- $28.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded864
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.2kat 0.254Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.581Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$3.6kat 0.310Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.433Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?
- +$2.4kat 0.217US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:15 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999996 | $240.00 |
| 09-16 01:17 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $320.00 |
| 09-16 01:12 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.9208537711 | $233.00 |
| 09-15 15:53 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-15 15:51 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $925.00 |
| 09-15 15:47 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.5100737337 | $55.00 |
| 09-14 23:21 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3696303695 | $500.00 |
| 09-14 22:54 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? | BUY | 0.2790443684 | $146.00 |
| 09-14 22:53 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.3799999992 | $106.00 |
| 09-14 22:47 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $33.10 |
| 09-14 22:47 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999987 | $124.00 |
| 09-12 02:05 | Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.27 |
| 09-11 14:48 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3963481483 | $440.00 |
| 09-11 14:45 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.830396196 | $1.5k |
| 09-09 20:43 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.7k |