PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

controls

0x165ed327dd594bfe95a5a9836cad385813cff5aa

Realised P&L
$23.9k
Volume
$1.07M
Markets traded
833
Open portfolio
$17.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded833
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7350.795$7.0k+$520.97
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9180.980$1.5k+$93.79
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6300.770$1.2k+$222.09
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6040.710$945.71+$140.99
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9000.925$924.08+$24.98
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.6110.335$846.96$698.70
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4050.390$742.63$29.26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9000.935$726.50+$27.19
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · No0.7830.785$706.50+$1.50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.5330.770$634.61+$195.11
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? · No0.5000.515$495.08+$14.08
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? · No0.5670.245$433.93$569.49
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? · No0.6080.450$318.05$111.67
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2800.150$237.92$206.19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.6160.805$176.69+$41.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 21:59Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?BUY0.79$553.00
07-29 15:32Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?SELL0.69$172.50
07-28 22:48Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.4211505734$600.00
07-28 22:36Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.4800884146$300.00
07-28 22:32Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.4674172836$700.00
07-28 17:57Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.2288997194$132.00
07-28 17:55Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.2699999983$100.00
07-28 17:15Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.309999998$100.00
07-28 17:12Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.3099999995$250.00
07-28 17:03Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.28$210.00
07-28 16:56Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.3756274803$175.00
07-28 16:37Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.2928275306$438.00
07-28 16:36Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.24$357.00
07-28 16:21Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.307253322$1.3k
07-27 19:10Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.205467625$170.00