PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0x165ed327dd594bfe95a5a9836cad385813cff5aa

Realised P&L
$41.2k
Volume
$1.17M
Markets traded
864
Open portfolio
$28.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded864
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:15Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4199999996$240.00
09-16 01:17Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.26$320.00
09-16 01:12Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by September 30?BUY0.9208537711$233.00
09-15 15:53Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.8499999999$300.00
09-15 15:51Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.75$925.00
09-15 15:47Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?BUY0.5100737337$55.00
09-14 23:21Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3696303695$500.00
09-14 22:54Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?BUY0.2790443684$146.00
09-14 22:53Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?BUY0.3799999992$106.00
09-14 22:47Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.26$33.10
09-14 22:47Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5499999987$124.00
09-12 02:05Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.4$6.27
09-11 14:48Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3963481483$440.00
09-11 14:45Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.830396196$1.5k
09-09 20:43Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.58$1.7k