controls
0x165ed327dd594bfe95a5a9836cad385813cff5aa
- Realised P&L
- $50.4k
- Volume
- $1.36M
- Markets traded
- 942
- Open portfolio
- $31.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded942
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.2kat 0.254Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$6.8kat 0.706Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.581Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$3.6kat 0.310Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.217US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 09:43 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.6141402431 | $370.00 |
| 10-30 09:42 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | SELL | 0.9640282051 | $751.94 |
| 10-29 21:40 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.6966327653 | $103.00 |
| 10-29 21:39 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $354.00 |
| 10-29 17:09 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.0k |
| 10-29 13:22 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.2995404862 | $200.00 |
| 10-29 13:21 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.7465119871 | $580.00 |
| 10-28 15:07 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $316.00 |
| 10-28 12:11 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.7209297663 | $1000.00 |
| 10-28 11:54 | Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.1014896455 | $68.00 |
| 10-28 11:52 | Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.2314955079 | $156.00 |
| 10-28 01:25 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | BUY | 0.5199999994 | $161.00 |
| 10-28 01:20 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? | BUY | 0.2232385086 | $180.00 |
| 10-28 01:16 | NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? | BUY | 0.6358833886 | $200.00 |
| 10-27 09:27 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.0k |