PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x165C8E4a03dBEc34DCA1752Baf97B80a629ed943-1772099673910

0x165c8e4a03dbec34dca1752baf97b80a629ed943

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$71.4k
Markets traded
579
Open portfolio
$59.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded579
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? · Yes0.4780.485$11.91+$0.17
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No0.4300.785$7.86+$3.56
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? · No0.6300.821$6.29+$1.46
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? · No0.6000.855$6.28+$1.87
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes0.4570.275$5.43$3.60
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5550.175$3.50$7.60
Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026? · Yes0.3800.298$2.98$0.81
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · Yes0.4800.295$2.71$1.70
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes0.3580.145$2.67$3.92
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? · No0.6200.515$2.57$0.52
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? · Yes0.3400.179$2.54$2.28
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes0.4800.265$2.44$1.98
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.2000.095$1.02$1.13
Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.1400.095$0.85$0.41
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.137$0.25$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 19:57Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 4.5 CornersBUY0.409999999$150.00
06-28 10:01Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5BUY0.4099999988$200.00
06-28 10:01Spread: United States (-1.5)BUY0.5399999991$250.00
06-27 02:03Spread: Belgium (-2.5)BUY0.5699999967$60.00
06-27 01:45Spread: Egypt (-1.5)BUY0.16$80.00
06-27 01:45Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.1799999977$60.00
06-27 01:39Spread: Spain (-1.5)BUY0.3299999978$80.00
06-25 20:43Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.25$196.35
05-16 11:10Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3407491827$91.81
05-16 10:50Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.13$1.04
05-16 10:46Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.38$1.90
03-06 13:50XRP Up or Down - March 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.0090000271$9.00
03-06 13:34Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.22$8.67
03-06 13:30XRP Up or Down - March 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.0009000015$0.90
03-06 13:14Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.0756521739$5.21