AnnRodriguez1197
0x1633724b3dc4c61ae7643fb6e10a2471b0a88bf6
- Realised P&L
- $-497.28
- Volume
- $88.6k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $77.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 15? · Yes | 0.936 | 0.781 | $50.80 | −$10.05 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI | 0.440 | 0.046 | $25.85 | −$221.43 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.085 | $1.27 | −$2.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$284.08at 0.469Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
- +$246.08at 0.680Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?
- +$149.61at 0.710Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
- +$130.04at 0.269Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
- +$104.67at 0.580Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 01:11 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 15? | BUY | 0.9361538462 | $60.85 |
| 04-07 11:36 | Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22? | BUY | 0.68 | $522.92 |
| 03-31 01:36 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.06 | $3.18 |
| 03-30 17:08 | Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $119.72 |
| 03-30 17:07 | Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $370.64 |
| 03-30 00:58 | Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $484.38 |
| 03-25 19:23 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 03-25 19:03 | Will Trump say "Swing State" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | SELL | 0.42 | $74.76 |
| 03-25 10:17 | Will Trump say "Swing State" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.47 | $83.66 |
| 03-20 10:37 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BUY | 0.44 | $247.28 |
| 03-16 08:18 | Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $56.00 |
| 03-16 01:48 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $738.63 |
| 03-15 10:31 | Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $72.80 |
| 03-14 09:58 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $747.12 |
| 03-12 09:14 | Will "Netflix" be said at the Oscars? | SELL | 0.04 | $9.36 |