andrealfieri
0x161ecdb90c21f9c4948992e6ce70c4fe53f1edfc
- Realised P&L
- $-13.46
- Volume
- $335.94
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $12.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron · Marcos Giron | 0.370 | 0.385 | $5.20 | +$0.20 |
| Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Suzan Lamens · Leolia Jeanjean | 0.550 | 0.555 | $5.04 | +$0.05 |
| Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Venezuela? · No | 0.930 | 0.925 | $1.30 | −$0.01 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.855 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will India vs. Uruguay end in a draw? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.235 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
| Will Norway vs. Denmark end in a draw? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Spread: Broncos (-3.5) · Rams | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.71 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Denmark vs. Wales: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| M25 Setubal: Alec Deckers vs Philip Henning · Philip Henning | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Hangzhou Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey Rublev · Rinky Hijikata | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes · Orix Buffaloes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.48at 0.442Will Utah Royals FC win on 2026-09-27?
- +$4.24at 0.331Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
- +$2.48at 0.452Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
- +$2.41at 0.300Will Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Walsall FC end in a draw?
- +$1.75at 0.371Shinshu Brave Warriors vs. Toyama Grouses
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:10 | Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Venezuela? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.31 |
| 09-28 03:04 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron | BUY | 0.37 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 03:03 | Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 02:40 | Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 02:25 | Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Suzan Lamens | BUY | 0.55 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 00:10 | Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 23:00 | Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: Nicaragua 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 22:55 | Fortaleza EC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 22:37 | Will Utah Royals FC win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 21:47 | Spread: Rams (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4799999329 | $2.29 |
| 09-27 21:38 | Racing Club Avellaneda vs. Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 21:33 | CA Racing de Cordoba vs. CD Godoy Cruz: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 20:49 | Exact Score: Columbus Crew 2 - 3 Inter Miami CF? | BUY | 0.9559999922 | $3.43 |
| 09-27 20:02 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $2.03 |
| 09-27 19:20 | Norway vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.62 | $2.81 |