0x15eb6656F185621a45B4df04604D0104fB653fB6-1756809418154
0x15eb6656f185621a45b4df04604d0104fb653fb6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.97
- Volume
- $699.48
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $151.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.220 | $148.83 | −$1.17 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No | 0.580 | 0.150 | $2.59 | −$7.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.962Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 19:29 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 19:35 | Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999302 | $5.50 |
| 03-30 15:57 | RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | BUY | 0.2220763157 | $125.00 |
| 03-27 20:24 | RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |