0x15e9ebd862e8d7cd571062d0fbd41d695a9575af
- Realised P&L
- $-2.77
- Volume
- $33.47
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $3.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.130 | $2.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.160 | $0.98 | −$2.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.00at 0.938Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-02 18:20 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.936 | $1.99 |
| 03-02 18:08 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.9379999841 | $2.00 |
| 03-02 17:41 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 03-02 15:50 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.934 | $3.00 |
| 03-02 15:16 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.934 | $3.00 |