0x15e262fc440d683729af65b08d0181e700ae5985
0x15e262fc440d683729af65b08d0181e700ae5985
- Realised P&L
- $-168.51
- Volume
- $49.6k
- Markets traded
- 684
- Open portfolio
- $164.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded684
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.28at 0.145Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?
- +$98.24at 0.018Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$93.85at 0.018Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
- +$38.82at 0.806AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5
- +$37.66at 0.478Bengaluru 2: Kriish Tyagi vs Hamish Stewart
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 20:13 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7559998987 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 20:10 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.749 | $0.36 |
| 10-26 20:05 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.79 |
| 10-25 02:45 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.01 |
| 10-25 02:13 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.02 |
| 10-25 01:15 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.06 |
| 10-25 00:24 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | SELL | 0.7 | $0.35 |
| 10-24 12:42 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7149999482 | $2.00 |
| 10-23 18:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.99 |
| 10-21 20:18 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 19:48 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7469999533 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 18:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 16:04 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.97 |
| 10-12 08:47 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |