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Traders

0x15e262fc440d683729af65b08d0181e700ae5985

0x15e262fc440d683729af65b08d0181e700ae5985

Realised P&L
$-168.51
Volume
$49.6k
Markets traded
684
Open portfolio
$164.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded684
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1900.885$15.46+$12.14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7160.851$12.62+$1.99
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · No0.9100.945$8.99+$0.33
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? · No0.5100.735$8.65+$2.65
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2890.916$7.67+$5.25
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.4401.000$7.27+$4.07
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6900.974$5.47+$1.59
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8500.955$5.36+$0.59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.175$5.10+$0.15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.7000.660$4.97−$0.30
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.7600.815$4.79+$0.32
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9040.921$4.71+$0.09
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5900.940$4.60+$1.71
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2600.135$4.15−$3.84
House control favorite on November 2? · Democratic Party0.9700.995$3.18+$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 22:01Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.71$2.00
10-26 20:13Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7559998987$2.00
10-26 20:10Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.749$0.36
10-26 20:05Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.76$3.79
10-25 02:45Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?SELL0.68$0.01
10-25 02:13Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?SELL0.66$0.02
10-25 01:15Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?SELL0.69$0.06
10-25 00:24Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?SELL0.7$0.35
10-24 12:42Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7149999482$2.00
10-23 18:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.83$1.99
10-21 20:18Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
10-21 19:48Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7469999533$2.00
10-14 18:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8299999792$2.00
10-14 16:04Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.84$1.97
10-12 08:47LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.2699999784$2.00
Trader 0x15e262fc440d683729af65b08d0181e700ae5985 · PolyBot Pro