Liric
0x159f2db9fd92b67351d0d536f94e425019debc63
- Realised P&L
- $-406.21
- Volume
- $39.3k
- Markets traded
- 695
- Open portfolio
- $181.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded695
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.22at 0.133Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
- +$90.22at 0.264Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on August 27?
- +$80.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?
- +$63.46at 0.294Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
- +$55.69at 0.271Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 13:53 | Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.00 |
| 10-09 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.979 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.9064039302 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 21:18 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $30.00 |
| 10-07 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9035460868 | $7.00 |
| 10-07 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.4261750766 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.8379544007 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6381970868 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.777291133 | $20.00 |