geimei
0x156b0acab99870b2763040d81e616c98479a06e0
- Realised P&L
- $-109.23
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $13.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.725 | $5.58 | +$0.58 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No | 0.860 | 0.960 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.938 | 0.981 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.946 | 0.980 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.455 | $1.03 | −$0.97 |
| Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.385 | $0.43 | −$0.57 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Up | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.75 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Up | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four · Team Heretics Academy | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.72at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$113.10at 0.137Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
- +$76.94at 0.448Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$36.46at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
- +$29.38at 0.428Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 08:44 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 08:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.08 |
| 10-21 08:43 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.854798722 | $5.35 |
| 09-06 12:54 | LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 14:47 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 14:46 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7979999882 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 06:09 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 02:45 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 02:36 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 03:06 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 06-19 03:05 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 06-19 03:03 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 11:54 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9379995732 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 11:50 | Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 11:50 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |