PolyBot

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Traders

PMTraderAdam

0x154794795d978c5890b3f69264311f0bd966d066

Realised P&L
$34.3k
Volume
$2.81M
Markets traded
1,387
Open portfolio
$49.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,387
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 16:07Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?BUY0.6769354407$303.66
10-06 14:22Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.86$86.00
10-04 02:10Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?BUY0.860625$275.40
10-04 00:54Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?BUY0.9263666545$481.33
09-27 20:39Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?BUY0.9640832535$865.38
09-26 21:46Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.995$843.80
09-24 04:32Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?BUY0.5855346612$52.62
09-23 16:29Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.970835$194.17
09-22 18:52US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?SELL0.0332058$19.92
09-22 18:52US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0497501219$27.56
09-22 18:52US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.063818$25.53
09-22 02:39Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.8145454545$44.80
09-22 02:35Will Sam Altman attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.9895429591$196.83
09-22 02:26Will Satya Nadella attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.87$316.92
09-21 06:25US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$352.00