0x154692201ca7103d7159fA44158D296aC1725239-1774211469521
0x154692201ca7103d7159fa44158d296ac1725239
- Realised P&L
- $0.86
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $83.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.385 | 0.175 | $64.97 | −$78.03 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.017 | $13.74 | −$83.26 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.045 | $5.08 | −$29.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.85at 0.959Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 09:32 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $97.00 |
| 04-12 13:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 04-11 12:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.309999996 | $43.00 |
| 03-25 20:06 | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999961 | $35.00 |
| 03-22 21:30 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9589999985 | $20.00 |