FridayImInLove
0x152f67a53948be8e8999a5badb4a4b083909c7e7
- Realised P&L
- $-14.9k
- Volume
- $2.61M
- Markets traded
- 481
- Open portfolio
- $408.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded481
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.071Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$1.2kat 0.097Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$485.09at 0.193Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$386.09at 0.012Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
- +$341.25at 0.092Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 11:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.0280125357 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 08:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.0329349272 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 08:11 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 05:32 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.0319430902 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 16:20 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.13465367 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 16:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.1696606771 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 15:55 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 10:54 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3642606635 | $12.30 |
| 09-21 20:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.032 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 18:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 18:34 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 18:34 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 08:02 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0493551259 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 13:28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0489999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 13:27 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.004418882 | $20.00 |