PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

FridayImInLove

0x152f67a53948be8e8999a5badb4a4b083909c7e7

Realised P&L
$-14.9k
Volume
$2.61M
Markets traded
481
Open portfolio
$408.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded481
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.0430.058$94.25+$24.25
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.0540.034$85.94$54.06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No0.0300.025$82.58$17.42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2500.135$48.60$41.40
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0720.085$47.05+$7.05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0140.007$19.85$20.15
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0320.004$14.25$85.75
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0180.004$12.50$37.50
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0100.004$3.39$6.61
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$189.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.2720.000$0.00$25.00
Iran full airspace closure by July 27? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up0.4950.000$0.00$8.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.7090.000$0.00$300.00
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 11:59US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.0280125357$50.00
09-23 08:14US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.0329349272$50.00
09-23 08:11Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.007$10.00
09-23 05:32Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.0319430902$50.00
09-22 16:20Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.13465367$10.00
09-22 16:01Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.1696606771$10.00
09-22 15:55Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.01$10.00
09-22 10:54Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3642606635$12.30
09-21 20:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.032$20.00
09-21 18:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.05$50.00
09-17 18:34Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-17 18:34Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.0699999999$20.00
09-16 08:02Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0493551259$10.00
09-15 13:28Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0489999999$10.00
09-15 13:27Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.004418882$20.00