xhsdj
0x151ed845877d832e3cf4934efff871d2255534ae
- Realised P&L
- $0.22
- Volume
- $233.63
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $51.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.977 | $40.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.690 | $2.46 | +$0.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.585 | $2.11 | −$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.495 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.580 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.560 | $1.95 | −$0.17 |
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Thunder vs. Celtics · Thunder | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be another color? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.423 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.63at 0.876Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$2.51at 0.447Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$2.22at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 19?
- +$1.76at 0.630Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$1.67at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.6099999712 | $2.12 |
| 10-09 09:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5899998904 | $2.10 |
| 10-09 09:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6099998946 | $2.20 |
| 10-03 11:54 | Colts vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 10:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.26 |
| 07-28 10:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.49 | $3.50 |
| 07-18 11:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999763 | $40.00 |
| 07-18 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.10 |
| 06-30 15:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.10 |
| 06-30 15:01 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 14:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.00 |
| 05-31 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on June 1? | BUY | 0.9679998296 | $2.00 |