PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

the5season

0x1500a00081baf0a34d80e67d72848ca41387d35a

Realised P&L
$372.04
Volume
$39.3k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9680.985$1.5k+$23.87
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8300.725$698.14−$101.11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9450.969$537.51+$13.04
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9810.987$493.25+$2.75
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9580.983$419.57+$10.72
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9660.981$345.14+$5.10
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9750.984$196.70+$1.70
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · No0.9800.979$97.85−$0.15
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.2880.415$41.48+$12.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 12:22Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.969$1.1k
10-01 14:13Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.945$524.47
09-29 00:18Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$171.94
09-01 01:36Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.967$232.08
08-25 05:50Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.966$340.03
08-25 05:43Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.954$95.40
08-16 09:31Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999986$118.56
06-20 17:04Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$1.1k
06-16 02:14Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.93$9.30
06-16 02:13Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.97$243.60
06-16 02:12Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
06-16 02:10Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.987$493.50
06-16 02:07Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$940.00
05-14 16:08Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.958$479.00
05-09 15:50China x Japan military clash before 2027?SELL0.9$90.00