0x14f4007930dee421fee1add60aabed7aa6ba507f
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.00at 0.638Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
- +$76.15at 0.604Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$24.97at 0.329Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$20.46at 0.580Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$17.03at 0.949Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 20:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | SELL | 0.96 | $29.22 |
| 11-02 18:16 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9399999984 | $23.27 |
| 11-02 18:16 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9399999972 | $6.63 |
| 11-02 18:15 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.91 |
| 11-02 18:15 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.70 |
| 11-02 18:11 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.35 |
| 11-02 18:10 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.36 |
| 11-02 18:02 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.939999997 | $6.24 |
| 11-02 18:01 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9399999971 | $6.59 |
| 11-02 18:00 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.78 |
| 11-02 18:00 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.92 | $12.55 |
| 11-02 17:59 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9199999974 | $14.13 |
| 11-02 17:59 | Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.05 |
| 11-02 17:59 | Spread: FK Radnicki Nis (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3989999758 | $1.96 |
| 11-02 15:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |