PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sixfeetfour4

0x14cdde11e3a8a03705864ea1fbde93c2e1e71f04

Realised P&L
$1.93
Volume
$600.27
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$161.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No0.6710.649$53.20−$1.80
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.4990.768$30.80+$10.80
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9610.955$29.81−$0.19
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9760.943$19.31−$0.69
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9300.880$18.92−$1.08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4600.355$7.72−$2.28
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.1500.085$1.70−$1.30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · Hanwha Life Esports0.6000.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong · Coleman Wong0.4700.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 08:43Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999986$20.00
11-01 07:19Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman WongBUY0.4699999944$10.00
11-01 05:33Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?BUY0.25$5.00
11-01 05:32Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.9829999994$10.00
11-01 04:29Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.599999988$10.00
11-01 04:27Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.269999993$10.00
10-31 10:40LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.599999985$8.00
10-30 06:04Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?BUY0.15$3.00
10-30 06:00Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.4989999915$20.00
10-30 04:14Spread: Kings (-2.5)BUY0.9199999963$10.00
10-30 04:14Senators vs. KingsBUY0.9960049801$10.00
10-30 03:56Canucks vs. SharksBUY0.9$10.00
10-30 03:54Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.6403940729$10.00
10-30 03:53Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.9759999992$20.00
10-30 03:46Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?SELL0.93$41.57