PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x54D8b204e27E46909aF5a4ae6957CA737dD8e483-1772112124100

0x14b33092bb98cbecb041b44176350cf84559ae28

Realised P&L
$-20.61
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
736
Open portfolio
$51.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded736
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.989$4.43−$0.05
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.986$4.42−$0.06
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$4.41−$0.07
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$4.41−$0.07
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.983$4.41−$0.07
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.976$4.38−$0.10
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.957$4.29−$0.19
Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No0.9980.998$4.09−$0.00
Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No0.9990.998$4.08−$0.01
Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No0.9980.995$4.08−$0.01
Will Arvils Ašeradens be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No0.9990.991$4.06−$0.03
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.893$4.01−$0.47
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%? · No0.9990.000$0.00−$4.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9800.000$0.00−$3.77
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor? · No0.9990.000$0.00−$5.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 09:57XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ETBUY0.99$4.20
10-19 23:57Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 19, 2026?BUY0.999$4.20
10-19 05:56BNB Up or Down - October 19, 1AM ETBUY0.999$4.20
10-19 02:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10PM ETBUY0.999$4.20
10-17 23:57Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?BUY0.998$4.19
10-16 23:57Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?BUY0.985$4.19
10-16 19:56Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.999$4.19
10-16 06:57Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ETBUY0.9969999998$4.19
10-15 23:56NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?BUY0.9989998081$4.19
10-15 04:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12AM ETBUY0.999$4.19
10-15 03:56Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.9989998081$4.19
10-14 20:56US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on October 14?BUY0.998$4.18
10-14 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3PM ETBUY0.98$4.18
10-14 10:56Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 6AM ETBUY0.999$4.18
10-14 10:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6AM ETBUY0.999$4.18