PolyBot

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Traders

newmasterroshi

0x14b150dc6b3149c7b0f73357fdd5efe6f095bfe8

Realised P&L
$324.44
Volume
$192.2k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? · No0.6700.845$856.56+$176.92
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8600.875$792.75+$13.59
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · No0.9450.978$723.78+$24.68
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9870.987$493.26+$0.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · No0.9870.989$398.37+$0.54
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? · No0.7000.909$231.07+$53.32
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? · Yes0.1750.265$228.11+$77.53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9700.968$194.47−$0.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes0.4800.490$49.49+$1.01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.2400.230$46.46−$2.02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.1890.141$42.43−$14.60
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.4400.445$26.70+$0.30
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? · No0.4830.445$14.32−$1.24
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.5390.555$7.38+$0.21
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.3240.325$7.11+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 21:18New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.95$46.50
10-06 03:33Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?BUY0.2513356485$18.82
10-05 18:05Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?BUY0.7974999375$318.99
10-05 16:25Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?SELL0.41$36.90
10-05 12:45Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?BUY0.1507693989$34.49
10-05 11:00Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?BUY0.57$22.80
10-05 11:00Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?BUY0.677719453$61.46
10-05 10:51Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?BUY0.5306040268$79.06
10-05 10:51Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?BUY0.532056877$81.20
10-04 23:35Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?BUY0.0861166539$3.37
10-04 23:04Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?BUY0.8139141901$160.49
10-04 22:54Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?BUY0.72$0.78
10-04 21:27Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.93$58.36
10-03 01:39Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?SELL0.63$32.13
09-29 10:13Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?BUY0.991$4.96