newmasterroshi
0x14b150dc6b3149c7b0f73357fdd5efe6f095bfe8
- Realised P&L
- $324.44
- Volume
- $192.2k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.30at 0.043Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$83.17at 0.578Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$70.40at 0.200Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
- +$54.31at 0.125Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$45.72at 0.563Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:18 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $46.50 |
| 10-06 03:33 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.2513356485 | $18.82 |
| 10-05 18:05 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.7974999375 | $318.99 |
| 10-05 16:25 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.41 | $36.90 |
| 10-05 12:45 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.1507693989 | $34.49 |
| 10-05 11:00 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.57 | $22.80 |
| 10-05 11:00 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.677719453 | $61.46 |
| 10-05 10:51 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.5306040268 | $79.06 |
| 10-05 10:51 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.532056877 | $81.20 |
| 10-04 23:35 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.0861166539 | $3.37 |
| 10-04 23:04 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.8139141901 | $160.49 |
| 10-04 22:54 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.72 | $0.78 |
| 10-04 21:27 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.93 | $58.36 |
| 10-03 01:39 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.63 | $32.13 |
| 09-29 10:13 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.96 |