0x14af099229af971e94b90cdf52a5ec1148d502f2
- Realised P&L
- $-245.64
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $23.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.305 | $8.71 | −$1.29 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.165 | $4.83 | −$5.12 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.015 | $4.37 | −$15.63 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.065 | $3.59 | −$11.33 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.040 | $1.72 | −$8.28 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$693.62at 0.289Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5
- +$177.17at 0.267Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
- +$125.41at 0.409Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5
- +$100.00at 0.200Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$98.66at 0.267Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 16:56 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $95.48 |
| 07-19 16:56 | Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.0899999949 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 16:55 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | BUY | 0.2999999961 | $38.51 |
| 07-17 15:51 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2299999893 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 20:50 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $169.89 |
| 07-15 19:20 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4499999985 | $76.53 |
| 07-15 19:10 | England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 19:11 | France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.1799999848 | $7.81 |
| 07-09 19:11 | France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | BUY | 0.259999985 | $10.78 |
| 07-07 17:33 | Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? | BUY | 0.3589999901 | $19.60 |
| 07-06 06:06 | Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5099999956 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 06:22 | Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4799999963 | $26.15 |
| 07-04 06:22 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5399999913 | $27.21 |
| 07-04 06:21 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999903 | $15.60 |
| 07-04 06:20 | Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |