noland1
0x14adb1481a5d8ceaa8baa15bab31478ca905c876
- Realised P&L
- $-279.73
- Volume
- $259.1k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $6.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.37at 0.300Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$156.88at 0.960Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$24.74at 0.355Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$20.35at 0.327Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$20.20at 0.046Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.36 |
| 09-16 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.31 | $1.35 |
| 09-16 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $1.80 |
| 09-16 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $0.13 |
| 09-16 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $1.25 |
| 09-16 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.25 |
| 09-16 16:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.94 |
| 09-16 16:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 09-16 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |