0x147FbB6aC7A7c4a5382013ce0f40F80eB4db49ed-1768768367536
0x147fbb6ac7a7c4a5382013ce0f40f80eb4db49ed
- Realised P&L
- $-224.84
- Volume
- $76.3k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $29.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.56at 0.101Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$27.14at 0.450Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
- +$14.22at 0.237Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$10.79at 0.470Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
- +$8.61at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 09:02 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.00 |
| 10-30 09:01 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | BUY | 0.0853174598 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 08:58 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0714285714 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 08:57 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.167 | $8.43 |
| 10-30 08:57 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | SELL | 0.977 | $20.78 |
| 10-26 09:38 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1299999975 | $6.25 |
| 10-26 09:37 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 09:36 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 21:11 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.64 |
| 09-20 06:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 06:11 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0346551854 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 06:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.574 | $24.95 |
| 08-03 19:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 08:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.018924301 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 15:30 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m? | BUY | 0.041921207 | $20.00 |