PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x1472f500708fb4d9f183f6d1e35b398db4269863

0x1472f500708fb4d9f183f6d1e35b398db4269863

Realised P&L
$-822.62
Volume
$83.6k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$637.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4800.435$181.25−$18.75
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.295$162.25−$2.75
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0250.054$108.45+$58.45
Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0900.086$77.72−$4.03
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.019$65.59+$28.59
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3100.265$41.89−$7.11
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" in April? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$17.60
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$140.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.05
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$34.00
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) · Sporting CP0.0500.000$0.00−$36.87
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 7? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00−$117.50
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00−$50.00
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:28Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0899383938$81.75
11-01 21:24Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4799999996$200.00
11-01 21:01Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$165.00
10-29 04:37Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3099999983$49.00
10-29 04:15Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.024895997$50.00
08-15 21:37Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0109999997$37.00
06-09 23:14Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.1059999978$42.50
06-08 21:10Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.1299999628$2.90
06-08 21:08Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.1399999976$50.00
06-01 00:49Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.82999998$34.00
06-01 00:48Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.2453928634$75.00
06-01 00:47Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?BUY0.179279652$50.00
04-15 07:35Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)BUY0.0492647309$33.00
04-15 07:34Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)BUY0.042$1.76
04-15 07:21Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.1130364358$32.17