0x1472f500708fb4d9f183f6d1e35b398db4269863
0x1472f500708fb4d9f183f6d1e35b398db4269863
- Realised P&L
- $-822.62
- Volume
- $83.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $637.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.22at 0.128Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
- +$-4.83at 0.130Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- +$-194.16at 0.302Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:28 | Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899383938 | $81.75 |
| 11-01 21:24 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 21:01 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $165.00 |
| 10-29 04:37 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999983 | $49.00 |
| 10-29 04:15 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.024895997 | $50.00 |
| 08-15 21:37 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0109999997 | $37.00 |
| 06-09 23:14 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1059999978 | $42.50 |
| 06-08 21:10 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999628 | $2.90 |
| 06-08 21:08 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 00:49 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.82999998 | $34.00 |
| 06-01 00:48 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2453928634 | $75.00 |
| 06-01 00:47 | Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.179279652 | $50.00 |
| 04-15 07:35 | Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0492647309 | $33.00 |
| 04-15 07:34 | Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) | BUY | 0.042 | $1.76 |
| 04-15 07:21 | Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.1130364358 | $32.17 |