PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fwed33

0x14619de097b1fbe058d6d36282662c20958a30a1

Realised P&L
$-264.6k
Volume
$7.84M
Markets traded
1,576
Open portfolio
$39.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,576
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8550.959$8.7k+$938.72
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9261.000$6.0k+$438.79
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.6520.963$4.5k+$1.5k
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9520.970$3.1k+$58.06
OKX IPO in 2026? · No0.7450.951$2.9k+$636.80
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.5971.000$2.8k+$1.1k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8500.945$2.2k+$224.07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.6340.295$2.2k−$2.5k
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.2831.000$1.2k+$826.51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No0.5740.765$1.1k+$282.16
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9540.999$534.20+$23.82
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.8720.980$490.00+$54.00
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4580.973$453.42+$240.00
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8820.972$437.40+$40.40
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1300.555$392.38+$300.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 13:38Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.93$760.74
07-26 13:35Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.68$271.32
06-08 11:14Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BUY0.56$113.86
06-08 11:14OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.71$3.55
06-08 11:02Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BUY0.24$31.44
06-08 10:40Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.699$5.59
06-08 10:31Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.6998707161$273.65
06-08 10:30Will France win on 2026-06-08?BUY0.87$394.98
06-08 10:23Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.46$14.72
06-08 10:13Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.46$9.66
06-06 15:51Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.24$2.88
06-06 15:51Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BUY0.7$40.59
06-06 15:44Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BUY0.5$150.00
05-16 08:08Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.227$1.1k
05-05 09:11Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.8964197751$443.15