michcan5min
0x14494959bc0ade8305ef1760c481e3d09eeef2d5
- Realised P&L
- $-511.49
- Volume
- $36.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,681
- Open portfolio
- $5.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,681
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.83at 0.301Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$38.26at 0.330Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$34.43at 0.314Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$29.11at 0.392Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$27.39at 0.407Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 06:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $2.75 |
| 10-22 06:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999941 | $11.39 |
| 10-22 06:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 10-22 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 10-22 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |
| 10-22 06:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999704 | $4.30 |
| 10-22 05:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999894 | $12.75 |
| 10-22 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 10-22 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 10-22 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 10-22 05:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $4.16 |
| 10-22 04:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 10-22 04:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 10-22 04:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999959 | $3.32 |
| 10-22 04:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999684 | $5.27 |