PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

michcan5min

0x14494959bc0ade8305ef1760c481e3d09eeef2d5

Realised P&L
$-511.49
Volume
$36.4k
Markets traded
1,681
Open portfolio
$5.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,681
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration3.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.005$5.00+$4.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3900.215$0.55−$0.45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$5.05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00−$2.70
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$5.05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up0.5070.000$0.00−$10.00
Solana Up or Down - October 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$4.21
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00−$5.05
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00−$2.50
BNB Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Up0.5030.000$0.00−$18.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$4.91
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$3.22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.4710.000$0.00−$5.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.8300.000$0.00−$10.97
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00−$4.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 06:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.12$2.75
10-22 06:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ETBUY0.4199999941$11.39
10-22 06:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ETBUY0.4499999775$3.00
10-22 06:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ETBUY0.4599999387$3.00
10-22 06:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ETBUY0.4699999796$3.00
10-22 06:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ETBUY0.5299999704$4.30
10-22 05:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ETBUY0.4499999894$12.75
10-22 05:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ETBUY0.4099999535$3.00
10-22 05:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ETBUY0.4399999883$3.00
10-22 05:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ETBUY0.4399999883$3.00
10-22 05:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ETBUY0.52$4.16
10-22 04:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.4599999387$3.00
10-22 04:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.48$3.00
10-22 04:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12AM ETBUY0.3399999959$3.32
10-22 04:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.5199999684$5.27