MonkoX
0x144576cbbcdf2e00b6c2e463e177b494ecdfaf5a
- Realised P&L
- $13.61
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $357.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.978 | 0.966 | $61.67 | −$0.77 |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.966 | 0.935 | $56.10 | −$1.86 |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.944 | 0.971 | $53.87 | +$1.47 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.981 | $50.16 | −$0.18 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.969 | 0.968 | $48.13 | −$0.05 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.986 | 0.965 | $45.28 | −$0.99 |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%? · No | 0.993 | 0.958 | $42.15 | −$1.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.81at 0.945Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$1.83at 0.922Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
- +$1.38at 0.973Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$1.25at 0.974Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.22at 0.952Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 11:47 | Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.988 | $57.30 |
| 04-14 08:56 | Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9219999978 | $21.61 |