PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1441D4Fa1a04Bba331DeE9852C8d185e977A8Ec5-1776166746915

0x1441d4fa1a04bba331dee9852c8d185e977a8ec5

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$75.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-18.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.1010.035$63.79$122.05
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1030.022$11.38$40.71
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.028$0.39$0.90
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No0.3170.000$0.00$842.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-26 17:11Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.4200236334$260.88
04-26 13:05Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999386$1.29
04-24 07:48US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.13$1.86
04-24 07:47Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.39$195.00
04-24 07:39Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.39$195.00
04-24 07:38US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.12$93.83
04-22 13:31Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1029921885$52.09
04-21 12:18US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.0719393566$52.35
04-21 12:13US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
04-21 12:13Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?SELL0.04$5.00
04-18 16:20Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.1899999984$79.71
04-18 16:17Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.2$25.00
04-16 10:53Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.1799999988$111.61
04-16 10:53Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?SELL0.85$111.61
04-14 18:34Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?BUY0.7961919269$104.54