0x1441D4Fa1a04Bba331DeE9852C8d185e977A8Ec5-1776166746915
0x1441d4fa1a04bba331dee9852c8d185e977a8ec5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $75.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.035 | $63.79 | −$122.05 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.022 | $11.38 | −$40.71 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.028 | $0.39 | −$0.90 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$842.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.07at 0.796Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
- +$-20.00at 0.200Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 17:11 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.4200236334 | $260.88 |
| 04-26 13:05 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999386 | $1.29 |
| 04-24 07:48 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.86 |
| 04-24 07:47 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.39 | $195.00 |
| 04-24 07:39 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.39 | $195.00 |
| 04-24 07:38 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $93.83 |
| 04-22 13:31 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.1029921885 | $52.09 |
| 04-21 12:18 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.0719393566 | $52.35 |
| 04-21 12:13 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 04-21 12:13 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 04-18 16:20 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.1899999984 | $79.71 |
| 04-18 16:17 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $25.00 |
| 04-16 10:53 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.1799999988 | $111.61 |
| 04-16 10:53 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | SELL | 0.85 | $111.61 |
| 04-14 18:34 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | BUY | 0.7961919269 | $104.54 |