PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

liveMeta

0x141d096009b2a97238059cf7a826e466af6bfe86

Realised P&L
$-421.64
Volume
$33.9k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$516.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8700.905$452.50+$17.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.1010.081$64.38$15.90
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No0.1720.000$0.00$340.01
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2810.000$0.00$202.32
Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$138.00
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? · No0.4410.000$0.00$75.35
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$236.80
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? · No0.3800.000$0.00$100.07
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No0.1700.000$0.00$550.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.87$435.00
08-28 16:32Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.67287$53.83
08-28 16:30Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.4410535558$75.35
08-28 16:28Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.38$100.07
08-28 15:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?SELL0.031$28.48
08-13 15:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.29$145.00
08-13 13:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.29$116.00
08-13 13:27US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.96030592$480.15
08-06 08:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.2$103.75
08-02 17:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.59$295.00
07-31 13:43Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.69$125.40
07-27 14:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.728$364.00
07-15 07:41Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentBUY0.27$75.60
07-15 07:39Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.195$200.85
07-14 14:31Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentBUY0.31$161.20