possward
0x140f24efb398abda79f68a45e80c7cb2ff160b2e
- Realised P&L
- $-107.17
- Volume
- $56.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,184
- Open portfolio
- $196.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,184
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.65at 0.113Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 12?
- +$6.16at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 12?
- +$5.73at 0.981Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
- +$4.88at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?
- +$4.49at 0.532Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.971 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 6? | BUY | 0.981 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5? | BUY | 0.959 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 00:11 | Will TownSquare launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 10-01 00:00 | Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will Linera launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 09-27 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 22:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.91 |
| 09-19 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.98 |
| 09-17 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.915 | $4.97 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on September 13? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |