PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

possward

0x140f24efb398abda79f68a45e80c7cb2ff160b2e

Realised P&L
$-107.17
Volume
$56.9k
Markets traded
3,184
Open portfolio
$196.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,184
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 22:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.971$5.00
10-06 09:06Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 6?BUY0.981$5.00
10-04 22:43Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5?BUY0.959$5.00
10-01 00:11Will TownSquare launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.998$29.94
10-01 00:00Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.998$4.99
09-30 23:12Will Linera launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.999$300.00
09-27 11:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 27?BUY0.96$5.00
09-24 22:34Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.98$10.00
09-20 11:14Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 20?BUY0.96$1.91
09-19 13:15Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 19?BUY0.974$4.98
09-17 21:33Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.98$10.00
09-17 14:18Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17?BUY0.915$4.97
09-15 10:42Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 15?BUY0.9$5.00
09-12 22:58Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on September 13?BUY0.94$5.00
09-12 09:14Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 12?BUY0.96$5.00