PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

waterstar

0x14010a5b86f08d7c27d45d693e5d4d43163d1eac

Realised P&L
$-17.39
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$310.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2780.275$111.38−$1.37
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.785$44.82+$4.85
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3200.265$30.63−$6.36
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.395$29.47−$17.53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3200.275$28.35−$4.64
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1470.055$24.48−$40.97
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.535$21.77−$2.24
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0300.030$19.90−$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 13:20Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.32$32.99
10-29 13:18Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.32$36.99
10-20 04:21Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.59$24.01
10-20 04:19Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.63$47.00
10-13 12:08Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?SELL0.12$46.56
10-06 13:40Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.14$18.20
10-06 13:38Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.27$17.55
10-05 03:53Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.031$0.15
10-05 03:52Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.15$39.75
10-05 03:49Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.43$58.91
10-05 03:48Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.28$67.20
10-04 09:42Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0302859828$15.31
10-04 09:36Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.15$7.50
10-04 09:35Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.12$6.00
10-04 09:31Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.41$41.00