PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gh561f

0x13ebbffb49a3adb256dd0252ccc57116ce0fa4e6

Realised P&L
$-154.65
Volume
$44.3k
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$380.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · No0.5701.000$100.00+$43.00
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · No0.8390.597$29.85−$12.10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.535$26.75−$0.25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.535$26.75−$0.25
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.480$24.00−$0.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.4700.425$21.25−$2.25
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.860$17.20−$0.40
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes0.7100.855$17.10+$2.90
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.785$15.70−$0.50
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.7900.765$15.30−$0.50
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.8800.750$15.00−$2.60
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.7700.745$14.90−$0.50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6300.625$12.50−$0.10
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5500.385$7.70−$3.30
Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? · No0.5400.320$6.40−$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 08:44Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.46$9.20
09-12 22:07Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.83$16.60
09-04 02:05Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.11$2.20
09-02 22:00Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.8$16.00
08-23 14:23Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.31$6.20
08-20 07:25Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.10169$2.03
08-20 07:25Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80
08-19 20:06Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.34$6.80
08-19 14:38Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.83$16.60
08-19 03:33Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?SELL0.013$0.26
08-19 03:33Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.1$2.00
08-19 03:33Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.37$7.40
08-18 23:57Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?SELL0.89$17.80
08-18 04:15Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 06:43Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?SELL0.174625$3.49