PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

apb1899

0x138a5ece3bb1216dcbb3dce010d71f02bddb8197

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$129.7k
Markets traded
1,480
Open portfolio
$37.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,480
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6000.575$19.17−$0.83
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · No0.9180.849$18.49−$1.51
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka · England0.8400.001$0.01−$19.99
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5800.000$0.00−$9.32
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00−$100.00
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Alabama Lions · Eastern Kentucky Colonels0.8000.000$0.00−$15.50
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$42.98
FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5 · Under0.8800.000$0.00−$60.00
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Illinois Huskies · Central Michigan Chippewas0.9600.000$0.00−$135.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 63°F or below on May 24? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C or below on May 6? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.02
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) · Cavaliers0.7800.000$0.00−$27.30
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$50.00
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs · BASEMENT BOYS0.7780.000$0.00−$13.95
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 23:11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$24.42
09-24 15:58Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5BUY0.9649999998$30.00
09-24 15:57Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri LankaBUY0.839999995$20.00
09-23 20:14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.599999994$20.00
09-23 16:09Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$22.62
09-23 16:08Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026SELL0.99$20.62
09-20 19:07Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21?BUY0.9299999986$20.00
09-20 19:06Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5BUY0.8899999979$30.00
09-19 09:34Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?SELL0.999$20.38
09-19 07:04Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.96$20.00
09-19 07:01Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7425742571$20.00
09-19 07:00RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 0.5BUY0.95$20.00
09-19 06:59Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5BUY0.9$20.00
09-19 06:57Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.98$20.00
09-17 22:54Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.9099999991$20.00