apb1899
0x138a5ece3bb1216dcbb3dce010d71f02bddb8197
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $129.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,480
- Open portfolio
- $37.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,480
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.66at 0.410Knicks vs. Lakers
- +$85.09at 0.540Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars
- +$80.15at 0.554Monaco vs. Olimpia Milano
- +$78.96at 0.650Paris Basketball vs. Monaco
- +$77.73at 0.563Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:11 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $24.42 |
| 09-24 15:58 | Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9649999998 | $30.00 |
| 09-24 15:57 | Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.839999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 20:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 16:09 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $22.62 |
| 09-23 16:08 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | SELL | 0.99 | $20.62 |
| 09-20 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 19:06 | Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8899999979 | $30.00 |
| 09-19 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.38 |
| 09-19 07:04 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 07:01 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7425742571 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 07:00 | RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 06:59 | Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $20.00 |