Captainice
0x13837b44986840fe6a89f67074f992d67a8c43bc
- Realised P&L
- $-89.16
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $64.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.160 | $18.76 | −$21.24 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.470 | 0.305 | $12.98 | −$7.02 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.660 | $12.24 | −$1.48 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.790 | $10.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.915 | $5.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.835 | $4.86 | +$0.26 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.64at 0.266Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$25.58at 0.113Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$15.68at 0.673Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$11.91at 0.480Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
- +$11.85at 0.211Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 01:43 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.7899999021 | $4.60 |
| 06-03 01:35 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 01:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 21:38 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.7399999935 | $13.72 |
| 04-19 21:08 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.984 | $13.65 |
| 04-03 16:18 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.6599999928 | $9.16 |
| 04-03 15:21 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.11 | $8.86 |
| 02-09 02:18 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.2119999827 | $8.51 |
| 02-09 02:18 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.68 | $8.29 |
| 01-08 04:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $4.38 |
| 01-08 04:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.04 |
| 01-08 04:23 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |
| 01-01 21:29 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1099999545 | $2.03 |
| 01-01 21:29 | Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.07 | $2.03 |
| 01-01 19:14 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01? | BUY | 0.6799999677 | $15.14 |