PolyBot

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Traders

Captainice

0x13837b44986840fe6a89f67074f992d67a8c43bc

Realised P&L
$-89.16
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$64.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3400.160$18.76$21.24
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4700.305$12.98$7.02
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? · Yes0.7400.660$12.24$1.48
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? · Yes0.7800.790$10.13+$0.13
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8600.915$5.32+$0.32
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? · Yes0.7900.835$4.86+$0.26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-03 01:43Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?BUY0.7899999021$4.60
06-03 01:35Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.86$5.00
06-03 01:34Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?BUY0.7799999984$10.00
04-19 21:38Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?BUY0.7399999935$13.72
04-19 21:08Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.984$13.65
04-03 16:18Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.6599999928$9.16
04-03 15:21Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.11$8.86
02-09 02:18Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.2119999827$8.51
02-09 02:18Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.68$8.29
01-08 04:54Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.36$4.38
01-08 04:24Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.9$4.04
01-08 04:23US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999702$4.00
01-01 21:29Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.1099999545$2.03
01-01 21:29Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5SELL0.07$2.03
01-01 19:14Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?BUY0.6799999677$15.14