PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bitsbyd

0x137fe9438fe207b34bd8261ccd6dc03a31a7f579

Realised P&L
$15.24
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$86.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.8450.855$30.35+$0.35
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6400.740$17.34+$2.34
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9400.981$15.65+$0.65
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6100.860$7.05+$2.05
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.7100.963$6.78+$1.78
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2170.220$5.06+$0.06
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9430.841$4.46−$0.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$10.00
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.5390.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 20:27Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2169999967$5.00
09-22 20:25Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.8450900251$30.00
07-12 09:29Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.199$7.48
07-05 22:51Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9879999998$20.00
07-05 22:49Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9699999995$20.00
07-05 22:44Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$21.93
07-01 00:21Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.052$2.92
06-17 06:23Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1329999803$5.00
05-30 16:30Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?SELL0.21$5.38
05-30 16:01Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.389999986$10.00
05-23 21:03Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenBUY0.9299998159$5.00
05-23 11:07Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.64$5.00
05-23 11:06Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.64$10.00
05-22 07:29Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9109999961$15.00
05-22 07:11Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9109999852$5.00