WorldOrder2000
0x13602981aaa5dfb5a57d50dce5ef3a1796522e9f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $64.1k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $124.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.215 | $96.75 | −$20.25 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.291 | 0.072 | $24.89 | −$75.11 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.032 | $2.76 | −$22.24 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$502.73 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.70 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$142.22 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.18 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.549 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$319.49at 0.928Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
- +$84.52at 0.530Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$62.42at 0.026Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$5.71at 0.350Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
- +$-1.87at 0.708Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 22:35 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31? | BUY | 0.0383995716 | $15.00 |
| 05-22 22:34 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 05-22 22:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $35.36 |
| 05-22 22:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.04 |
| 05-22 22:08 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.31 |
| 05-22 22:05 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.87 |
| 05-22 21:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.04 | $140.00 |
| 05-22 20:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.26 | $130.00 |
| 05-22 20:47 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.82 |
| 03-19 23:44 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 03-15 22:35 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0061903949 | $2.54 |
| 03-10 10:51 | Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.30 |
| 03-10 10:50 | Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.39 |
| 03-10 10:45 | Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.27 |
| 03-09 03:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.012 | $30.00 |