PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1359a060fc80183ceed6f1e64101a8ccb05dfc9d

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7990.785$2.3k−$41.61
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2? · Yes0.2000.015$0.29−$3.71
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$1.59
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 1? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Up0.3440.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 31? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$9.19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:55Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1?SELL0.458$9.16
11-01 10:20Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 1?BUY0.013$1.04
10-28 06:57Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099999985$220.60
10-26 14:01Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?SELL0.5040909091$55.45
10-26 14:01Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?SELL0.21$69.30
10-24 14:24Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?SELL0.22$59.40
10-24 14:24Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?SELL0.47$61.10
10-23 06:06Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.15$40.50
10-22 12:51Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?SELL0.48$22.68
10-22 07:37Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.5289421151$25.00
10-22 07:37Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.5964214664$25.00
10-22 07:36Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.2699999988$25.00
10-22 07:36Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.1299999995$25.00
10-18 05:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1AM ETSELL0.06$0.31
10-18 05:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1AM ETBUY0.029$0.15