moriahmacejkovic43
0x1316973356e115699a1ead202367ebd442e20d18
- Realised P&L
- $0.36
- Volume
- $57.17
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $2.18 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.006 | $0.22 | −$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.15at 0.928Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?
- +$0.05at 0.952Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$0.04at 0.987Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.03at 0.975Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.02at 0.988Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 16:26 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.17 |
| 09-17 06:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9929993546 | $1.10 |
| 09-17 06:22 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.14 |
| 09-17 06:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9939997398 | $2.33 |
| 09-17 06:20 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.23 |
| 09-08 07:09 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.9499993015 | $1.02 |
| 09-08 07:07 | Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9869999965 | $2.83 |
| 09-08 07:06 | Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9739999912 | $1.11 |
| 09-08 07:04 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9869998912 | $1.57 |
| 09-03 22:57 | Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0309999713 | $1.03 |
| 09-03 22:55 | Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $1.16 |
| 09-03 22:53 | Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | BUY | 0.9249999883 | $1.98 |
| 08-29 11:16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $2.09 |
| 08-29 11:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.84 |