PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

moriahmacejkovic43

0x1316973356e115699a1ead202367ebd442e20d18

Realised P&L
$0.36
Volume
$57.17
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$2.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7? · No0.9951.000$2.18+$0.01
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0310.006$0.22−$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 16:26US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?BUY0.995$2.17
09-17 06:23Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20?BUY0.9929993546$1.10
09-17 06:22Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$2.14
09-17 06:21Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20?BUY0.9939997398$2.33
09-17 06:20Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$2.23
09-08 07:09Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.9499993015$1.02
09-08 07:07Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.9869999965$2.83
09-08 07:06Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.9739999912$1.11
09-08 07:04Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.9869998912$1.57
09-03 22:57Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0309999713$1.03
09-03 22:55Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.9969999991$1.16
09-03 22:53Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?BUY0.9249999883$1.98
08-29 11:16US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.994$2.09
08-29 11:14Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?BUY0.992$1.84