RichardRogers6910
0x12eff4bc3433fa0bb7aeee0c6e8765b364eef5ce
- Realised P&L
- $59.31
- Volume
- $331.1k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $372.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Afghanistan | 0.210 | 0.510 | $154.02 | +$90.60 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.310 | 0.200 | $119.40 | −$65.67 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.085 | $76.67 | −$257.07 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.523 | 0.091 | $18.21 | −$85.98 |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.085 | $1.43 | −$2.44 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.025 | $1.40 | −$11.25 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.650 | $1.30 | −$0.26 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.048 | $0.19 | −$1.85 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.049 | $0.10 | −$0.92 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$705.78at 0.320Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?
- +$663.14at 0.340Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$401.50at 0.450Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
- +$380.60at 0.450Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5
- +$360.45at 0.110Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 14:10 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY | 0.49 | $370.93 |
| 04-12 08:13 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $591.33 |
| 04-11 17:03 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.65 | $65.65 |
| 04-11 16:53 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.65 | $347.75 |
| 04-11 15:36 | Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts | BUY | 0.87 | $660.33 |
| 04-11 07:24 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $16.75 |
| 04-10 06:48 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers | BUY | 0.78 | $260.52 |
| 04-10 06:16 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.67 | $426.12 |
| 04-09 22:40 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $578.89 |
| 04-09 10:31 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $705.91 |
| 04-08 12:27 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.426 | $57.94 |
| 04-07 13:10 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $626.22 |
| 03-30 15:52 | Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17? | SELL | 0.57 | $270.18 |
| 03-30 13:35 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | SELL | 0.81 | $278.64 |
| 03-30 09:35 | Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17? | BUY | 0.86 | $407.64 |