0x12DD5b2e03bdB83216AAD27916f20bD0DaA2F2be-1772461349023
0x12dd5b2e03bdb83216aad27916f20bd0daa2f2be
- Realised P&L
- $-130.74
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $86.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.22at 0.380Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$29.34at 0.699Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$27.00at 0.730Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
- +$26.00at 0.740Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$23.72at 0.926US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 09:26 | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 05-14 09:26 | Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.40 |
| 05-11 21:54 | Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 05-11 21:54 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 05-08 11:10 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.099 | $99.00 |
| 05-07 08:59 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3639 | $36.39 |
| 05-03 21:18 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 05-03 21:18 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.921 | $4.22 |
| 04-23 08:28 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 04-12 14:27 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.50 |
| 04-10 20:27 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.01 |
| 04-08 04:16 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.52 |
| 04-08 04:03 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.24 |
| 04-07 22:10 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.624 | $49.92 |
| 04-05 11:49 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |