PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

jsjr

0x12bff6ca3cb6cfc950a27b275b795fd84d4dddaf

Realised P&L
$-21.5k
Volume
$8.57M
Markets traded
535
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded535
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.7770.746$807.13$34.18
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1180.125$344.27+$18.43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1070.065$154.98$100.92
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2120.115$145.77$123.03
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.565$118.92$17.91
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0630.049$117.74$34.75
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0860.075$70.86$10.66
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1900.160$34.88$6.46
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.7460.905$8.28+$1.45
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.828$24.84
08-02 17:59Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.08$10.22
08-02 00:51Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.31$75.62
08-01 17:00Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$14.03
07-24 12:43Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.65$30.76
07-24 12:42Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.08$61.52
07-22 14:38Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.39$134.38
07-22 14:38Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.75$3.75
07-22 14:34Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.1$414.60
07-22 14:29Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.38$36.36
07-22 14:29Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.76$35.09
07-21 11:43Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1904827394$61.36
07-20 15:34Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?SELL0.84$0.08
07-20 15:33Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.28$0.05
07-18 13:07Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6892857143$77.20