PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

EnergyGeek

0x12993cbeb779cba6ed966f5ee3783c7807896277

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$225.2k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1860.166$1.3k$162.12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2830.541$573.50+$273.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.835$497.02$2.98
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5890.135$137.57$462.43
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0410.007$34.47$168.98
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1200.015$25.00$175.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.2620.009$10.05$299.95
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$300.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3670.000$0.00$500.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$707.85
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$500.00
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$100.00
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$4.00
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? · No0.0850.000$0.00$499.99
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · Yes0.8160.000$0.00$865.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 15:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.51$457.24
08-25 20:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.1099999956$20.00
08-19 10:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2899999993$260.00
08-17 10:33US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.3876834168$200.00
08-15 12:02US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.1578656789$316.25
08-15 07:01Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2829999994$300.00
08-12 09:55US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.3743887117$750.00
08-11 12:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
08-11 12:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5978302746$300.00
08-11 12:08US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999993$300.00
08-11 06:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5799999995$300.00
08-11 06:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.93$1.3k
08-11 06:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.95$395.83
08-09 11:11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8399999984$500.00
08-09 05:11Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.1199999995$200.00