PolyBot

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Traders

0x1283E685939f642DF0129e98956E296c86af2A9D-1778567502046

0x1283e685939f642df0129e98956e296c86af2a9d

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$138.8k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8580.825$2.3k−$91.57
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · No0.6720.820$1.4k+$252.06
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · No0.5560.198$79.00−$143.63
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.1950.464$35.74+$20.74
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner · FURIA Esports0.4901.000$5.02+$2.56
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 4 Winner · Solary0.6101.000$5.02+$1.96
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner · BNK FEARX0.7101.000$5.01+$1.45
LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner · Galions0.7801.000$5.01+$1.10
LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner · Karmine Corp0.7901.000$5.01+$1.05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$100.00
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? · No0.1090.000$0.00−$96.35
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$10.80
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$95.70
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00−$51.54
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner · FURIA Esports0.7100.000$0.00−$3.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 16:41Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?SELL0.8564205714$599.49
10-28 16:40Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.8805557849$405.28
10-26 13:17Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8574384642$2.0k
10-26 13:17Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.9164990898$392.68
10-26 13:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.94$671.43
10-26 13:17Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.95$1.8k
10-22 15:13LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.6099999322$3.06
10-22 14:12LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.6099999322$3.06
10-17 19:55LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.4899999183$2.46
10-17 10:08LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7099999561$3.56
10-16 19:56LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.789999994$3.96
10-16 00:07LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7099999302$3.56
10-14 16:53LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.75$3.76
10-13 17:36LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.779999992$3.91
10-13 07:07LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3899999244$1.96