0x1283E685939f642DF0129e98956E296c86af2A9D-1778567502046
0x1283e685939f642df0129e98956e296c86af2a9d
- Realised P&L
- $68.81
- Volume
- $90.3k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$578.87at 0.504Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?
- +$514.28at 0.302Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
- +$269.17at 0.247US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
- +$255.32at 0.470Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$80.66at 0.570US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:36 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | BUY | 0.257 | $19.86 |
| 09-16 21:34 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | SELL | 0.11 | $99.00 |
| 09-14 17:39 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.3801667056 | $114.02 |
| 09-14 17:38 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.401 | $200.50 |
| 09-14 06:07 | OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | BUY | 0.556563425 | $222.63 |
| 09-14 05:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.248 | $19.71 |
| 09-14 05:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.46 | $400.20 |
| 09-13 21:27 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.5563863889 | $400.60 |
| 09-13 21:24 | Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.6894128796 | $331.01 |
| 09-13 18:53 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.3151872258 | $244.27 |
| 09-11 09:43 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.191401642 | $223.80 |
| 09-11 09:42 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.1225583251 | $99.08 |
| 09-11 09:41 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | BUY | 0.1307167244 | $105.67 |
| 09-11 09:38 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | SELL | 0.1549742588 | $17.46 |
| 09-11 09:38 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.78 |