0x1283E685939f642DF0129e98956E296c86af2A9D-1778567502046
0x1283e685939f642df0129e98956e296c86af2a9d
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $138.8k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.419Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$852.21at 0.488Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
- +$578.87at 0.504Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?
- +$514.35at 0.558Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
- +$514.28at 0.302Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 16:41 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8564205714 | $599.49 |
| 10-28 16:40 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8805557849 | $405.28 |
| 10-26 13:17 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8574384642 | $2.0k |
| 10-26 13:17 | Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.9164990898 | $392.68 |
| 10-26 13:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $671.43 |
| 10-26 13:17 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.8k |
| 10-22 15:13 | LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $3.06 |
| 10-22 14:12 | LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $3.06 |
| 10-17 19:55 | LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $2.46 |
| 10-17 10:08 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7099999561 | $3.56 |
| 10-16 19:56 | LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.789999994 | $3.96 |
| 10-16 00:07 | LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7099999302 | $3.56 |
| 10-14 16:53 | LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Solary - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.75 | $3.76 |
| 10-13 17:36 | LoL: Galions vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.779999992 | $3.91 |
| 10-13 07:07 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3899999244 | $1.96 |