PolyBot

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Traders

0x1283E685939f642DF0129e98956E296c86af2A9D-1778567502046

0x1283e685939f642df0129e98956e296c86af2a9d

Realised P&L
$68.81
Volume
$90.3k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:36Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?BUY0.257$19.86
09-16 21:34Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?SELL0.11$99.00
09-14 17:39Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.3801667056$114.02
09-14 17:38Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.401$200.50
09-14 06:07OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?BUY0.556563425$222.63
09-14 05:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.248$19.71
09-14 05:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.46$400.20
09-13 21:27Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.5563863889$400.60
09-13 21:24Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.6894128796$331.01
09-13 18:53Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.3151872258$244.27
09-11 09:43Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?BUY0.191401642$223.80
09-11 09:42Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?SELL0.1225583251$99.08
09-11 09:41Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?BUY0.1307167244$105.67
09-11 09:38Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?SELL0.1549742588$17.46
09-11 09:38Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.52$10.78