0x122dec956895c7ecdb543e0a47c9d71913a3a366
0x122dec956895c7ecdb543e0a47c9d71913a3a366
- Realised P&L
- $-1.93
- Volume
- $246.07
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $5.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.855 | $2.45 | +$0.16 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.320 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.385 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.430 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.45at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$5.03at 0.319Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.00at 0.371Will Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.84at 0.379Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$3.24at 0.420Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 01:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:35 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:18 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 13:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 03:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 23? | BUY | 0.7699999933 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 06:50 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999389 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 22:45 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998953 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 07:38 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 05:41 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999741 | $2.29 |
| 09-13 21:40 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999169 | $2.29 |
| 09-10 04:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.29 |
| 09-09 19:26 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999653 | $2.29 |
| 09-09 11:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5299999653 | $2.29 |