PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SmakAfriki

0x11de4cc0fe3abf6d803c139324034170c6c321d7

Realised P&L
$9.7k
Volume
$546.4k
Markets traded
197
Open portfolio
$9.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded197
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9350.978$2.3k+$102.06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9500.945$1.9k$10.00
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · No0.9500.965$1.8k+$28.30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7440.795$1.5k+$95.10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8900.935$841.50+$40.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8500.875$509.38+$14.55
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5700.605$145.20+$8.40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5100.605$90.75+$14.25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4700.585$70.20+$13.80
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · Yes0.1400.070$14.00$14.00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1700.085$12.75$12.75
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · Yes0.2100.055$5.23$14.77
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$17.99
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · No0.4400.000$0.00$44.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.51$76.50
07-27 11:38Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? SELL0.09$13.50
07-22 20:00US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?BUY0.39$3.12
07-22 18:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.01$3.00
07-15 23:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9137574572$530.00
07-10 05:46Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.95$1.9k
07-08 20:31Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?SELL0.12$11.42
07-06 04:11Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?BUY0.9500651163$1.8k
07-04 20:07Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?BUY0.2102064769$40.00
06-18 02:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.88$800.00
06-15 17:07US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.951$2.1k
06-14 23:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.8070691198$966.80
06-14 23:02US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.8347736337$1.0k
06-14 21:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8308605317$200.00
06-13 18:44US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.6775400372$100.00