SmakAfriki
0x11de4cc0fe3abf6d803c139324034170c6c321d7
- Realised P&L
- $9.7k
- Volume
- $546.4k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $9.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.066Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$1.0kat 0.588Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$1.0kat 0.747Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
- +$975.00at 0.700US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$932.60at 0.547Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $76.50 |
| 07-27 11:38 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $13.50 |
| 07-22 20:00 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.12 |
| 07-22 18:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 23:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9137574572 | $530.00 |
| 07-10 05:46 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.9k |
| 07-08 20:31 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $11.42 |
| 07-06 04:11 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | BUY | 0.9500651163 | $1.8k |
| 07-04 20:07 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.2102064769 | $40.00 |
| 06-18 02:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $800.00 |
| 06-15 17:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.951 | $2.1k |
| 06-14 23:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.8070691198 | $966.80 |
| 06-14 23:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8347736337 | $1.0k |
| 06-14 21:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8308605317 | $200.00 |
| 06-13 18:44 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.6775400372 | $100.00 |