PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x11bD15e8c5aD6C67D2773bBeA4bAEC207B1B7f96-1775642526428

0x11bd15e8c5ad6c67d2773bbea4baec207b1b7f96

Realised P&L
$-48.94
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$93.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0450.071$79.44+$29.45
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? · Yes0.1960.087$8.90−$11.10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1900.045$4.74−$15.26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$20.00
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$10.00
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31? · No0.0430.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00−$20.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 06:54Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.045$50.00
10-20 06:49France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999989$15.00
10-20 06:48Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?BUY0.1956087824$20.00
08-04 00:03Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0339999966$10.00
08-04 00:02Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2150583591$20.00
06-09 21:27Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$25.00
05-22 16:05Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?SELL0.091$2.22
05-16 03:00Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?BUY0.4093966112$10.00
05-15 20:48Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0599999972$20.00
05-13 06:06Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?BUY0.4799999952$20.00
05-10 11:36Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?SELL0.001$0.16
05-07 20:09Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?BUY0.2967529381$20.00
05-07 20:09Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?BUY0.2539818852$40.00
05-06 07:18Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?BUY0.0432041271$10.00
05-05 07:49Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?BUY0.1699999941$20.00