robbb-808
0x11abeaa2b72a1e5d2b7c49515b370b0ae7ea5376
- Realised P&L
- $33.95
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $72.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.54at 0.016Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
- +$15.88at 0.557Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$11.12at 0.260Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
- +$10.43at 0.165Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
- +$8.52at 0.540Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 00:21 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 15:16 | Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.1399999984 | $9.00 |
| 09-11 15:15 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.1666781036 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 15:14 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.48 | $7.74 |
| 08-22 19:35 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1489999591 | $3.00 |
| 08-22 19:34 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2139999753 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 21:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $10.75 |
| 07-12 12:35 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2769999679 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 19:17 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0289999856 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 14:14 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0329999937 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 18:25 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999513 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 18:24 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1079999549 | $2.00 |
| 06-28 18:22 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.17 | $17.48 |
| 06-18 16:11 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1289999519 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 16:10 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999831 | $3.00 |