0x11429acEF6AF90C889032de99B908F36Ac9812da-1773329575805
0x11429acef6af90c889032de99b908f36ac9812da
- Realised P&L
- $550.78
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $363.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.32at 0.530Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$112.00at 0.440Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$36.46at 0.589Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 29?
- +$33.00at 0.780US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$30.00at 0.850Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 22:06 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.85 | $59.50 |
| 10-12 22:06 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.0566295014 | $4.41 |
| 10-12 22:06 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 3% or more? | BUY | 0.027445725 | $2.24 |
| 10-12 13:37 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.944 | $94.40 |
| 10-12 13:37 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election? | BUY | 0.0082307326 | $1.10 |
| 10-12 10:17 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $98.80 |
| 10-12 10:17 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.05 |
| 10-11 07:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 07:21 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 07:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 10-11 07:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more? | BUY | 0.129 | $2.58 |
| 10-11 07:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.123 | $2.46 |
| 10-11 07:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.0952134937 | $1.92 |
| 10-11 05:24 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 10-11 05:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election? | BUY | 0.0451344025 | $1.14 |