PolyBot

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Traders

0x11429acEF6AF90C889032de99B908F36Ac9812da-1773329575805

0x11429acef6af90c889032de99b908f36ac9812da

Realised P&L
$550.78
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$363.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? · Yes0.9500.945$98.28−$0.52
Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat? · Yes0.9440.943$94.25−$0.15
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? · Yes0.8500.855$59.85+$0.35
Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat? · No0.9400.965$24.13+$0.63
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-08 House seat? · Yes0.9400.935$23.38−$0.13
Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat? · Yes0.9100.905$18.10−$0.10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.0570.188$14.60+$10.19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 3% or more? · Yes0.0270.099$8.08+$5.84
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1230.206$4.13+$1.67
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.2000.190$3.80−$0.20
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? · Yes0.2000.185$3.70−$0.30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.1800.185$3.70+$0.10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 9%-12%? · Yes0.0950.088$1.77−$0.15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more? · Yes0.1290.067$1.34−$1.24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election? · Yes0.0450.045$1.15+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 22:06Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?BUY0.85$59.50
10-12 22:06Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.0566295014$4.41
10-12 22:06Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 3% or more?BUY0.027445725$2.24
10-12 13:37Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?BUY0.944$94.40
10-12 13:37Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election?BUY0.0082307326$1.10
10-12 10:17Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?BUY0.95$98.80
10-12 10:17Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election?BUY0.007$1.05
10-11 07:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?BUY0.2$4.00
10-11 07:21Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?BUY0.2$4.00
10-11 07:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?BUY0.18$3.60
10-11 07:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?BUY0.129$2.58
10-11 07:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.123$2.46
10-11 07:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 9%-12%?BUY0.0952134937$1.92
10-11 05:24Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?BUY0.91$18.20
10-11 05:24Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election?BUY0.0451344025$1.14