PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ma-sk

0x10f7c2f5b21df5096445157b6386e160c6142ba5

Realised P&L
$-101.06
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yes0.9090.925$210.43+$3.63
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.9490.925$194.93−$5.07
Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? · No0.8930.946$184.27+$10.29
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B? · Yes0.7150.775$172.26+$13.26
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.9260.945$153.08+$3.08
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election? · Yes0.8560.980$127.33+$16.05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 35% or more? · No0.8400.994$119.22+$18.42
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 0%-5%? · No0.8400.989$118.68+$17.88
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.981$117.66+$10.86
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.980$117.54+$11.94
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be less than -0.2%? · No0.8220.962$117.06+$17.06
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B? · Yes0.6790.670$116.58−$1.61
Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? · Yes0.8540.989$116.24+$15.84
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 0%-20%? · No0.8700.997$114.60+$14.55
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.979$109.59+$8.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 06:25Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?BUY0.6490898694$56.00
10-13 17:16Will NextEra Energy (NEE) Q3 operating revenue be above $7.5B?BUY0.6642573872$62.00
10-13 16:36Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $5.25B?BUY0.83$16.60
10-13 16:27Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $5.25B?BUY0.87$46.84
10-13 16:26Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?BUY0.85$39.10
10-13 16:26Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?BUY0.6$12.60
10-13 16:24Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?BUY0.72$14.40
10-13 16:24Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?BUY0.69$51.75
10-13 16:23Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?BUY0.68$39.44
10-13 16:23Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?BUY0.71$63.90
10-12 16:41Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?BUY0.76$44.44
10-12 13:08Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?BUY0.742853747$70.00
10-11 06:29Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?SELL0.36$14.40
10-11 06:11Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?SELL0.3$1.50
10-10 02:15Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?BUY0.9801211193$218.89