PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lucascostacastro

0x10f0e8df8f0efb0787a82cb6a5a2b6f4061c051c

Realised P&L
$-27.94
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
266
Open portfolio
$20.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded266
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD/BRL hit 6.25 (High) in 2026? · No0.8500.810$4.93−$0.24
Will USD/BRL hit 6 (High) in 2026? · No0.7500.685$3.42−$0.33
Will USD/BRL hit 4.25 (Low) in 2026? · No0.7000.515$2.58−$0.93
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7220.865$2.40+$0.40
Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? · No0.5000.465$2.33−$0.17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7810.605$2.32−$0.68
Will USD/BRL hit 5.75 (High) in 2026? · No0.7000.430$2.15−$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 23:13Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?SELL0.948$3.30
09-12 13:32Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.78$1.00
09-12 13:31Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.77$1.00
09-12 13:27US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.86$5.29
09-12 13:27Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.74$2.64
09-12 13:25Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.859$1.17
09-12 13:25Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.424$1.16
09-12 13:25Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?SELL0.38$1.15
09-12 13:24Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?SELL0.58$1.26
09-10 23:57Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.3649998704$1.00
09-10 23:55Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-10 23:49Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.524$1.58
08-23 20:39Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-23 20:36Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-23 20:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8799999648$1.00