kdaou
0x10ecb420bdd42d3fafd3a8fa2959bc96df57ca30
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $114.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $825.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.045 | $500.50 | −$478.50 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.065 | $325.00 | −$325.00 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.4kat 0.416Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
- +$-6.2kat 0.346Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
- +$-8.1kat 0.318Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 19:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | SELL | 0.4241800434 | $1.4k |
| 04-07 19:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | SELL | 0.136874538 | $2.3k |
| 04-07 19:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | SELL | 0.1621803638 | $1.9k |
| 04-03 13:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.2352449698 | $938.82 |
| 04-03 12:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.3k |
| 04-01 22:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $462.80 |
| 04-01 22:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.3091911556 | $472.37 |
| 04-01 22:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.1251309302 | $930.01 |
| 04-01 22:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.2797944742 | $471.19 |
| 04-01 21:42 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $91.71 |
| 04-01 21:36 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $8.65 |
| 04-01 21:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.089 | $105.40 |